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Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth
Li Yong
2010-12-01
Source PublicationSCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY
Volume53Issue:12Pages:2293-2299
AbstractBy studying the correlation between historical earthquake data and the distributional characteristics of parameters of solid earth tides in the earthquake epicenter, we are able to design a forecasting function of earthquake probability. We put forward a design method for the Earthquake Warning System. The model could theoretically simulate and be used to predict the probability of strong earthquakes that could occur anywhere at any time. In addition, the system could also conveniently obtain global or partial Modeling Earthquake Indexes to finally combine the precise pointing prediction and forecast of partial indexes. The literature quotes global data values, provided by NEIC, of 1544 M a (c) 3/4 6.5 earthquakes. It also gives examples of instantaneous earthquake indexes of the whole world and Taiwan Area on 1st January 2010, UT=0:00 and the average earthquake index near the Taiwan Area. According to the 10-year pointing prediction of strong earthquakes in San Francisco, the literature provides the average earthquake index on 24th June 2015 (+/- 15 days), in its neighborhood.
KeywordEarthquake Earthquake Warning System Astrogeodynamics Index
DOI10.1007/s11433-010-4164-1
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000284773800019
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Cited Times:1[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/7810
Collection应用天文研究部
AffiliationChinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li Yong. Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth[J]. SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY,2010,53(12):2293-2299.
APA Li Yong.(2010).Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth.SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY,53(12),2293-2299.
MLA Li Yong."Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth".SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY 53.12(2010):2293-2299.
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