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Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth
Li Yong
2010-12-01
发表期刊SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY
卷号53期号:12页码:2293-2299
摘要By studying the correlation between historical earthquake data and the distributional characteristics of parameters of solid earth tides in the earthquake epicenter, we are able to design a forecasting function of earthquake probability. We put forward a design method for the Earthquake Warning System. The model could theoretically simulate and be used to predict the probability of strong earthquakes that could occur anywhere at any time. In addition, the system could also conveniently obtain global or partial Modeling Earthquake Indexes to finally combine the precise pointing prediction and forecast of partial indexes. The literature quotes global data values, provided by NEIC, of 1544 M a (c) 3/4 6.5 earthquakes. It also gives examples of instantaneous earthquake indexes of the whole world and Taiwan Area on 1st January 2010, UT=0:00 and the average earthquake index near the Taiwan Area. According to the 10-year pointing prediction of strong earthquakes in San Francisco, the literature provides the average earthquake index on 24th June 2015 (+/- 15 days), in its neighborhood.
关键词Earthquake Earthquake Warning System Astrogeodynamics Index
DOI10.1007/s11433-010-4164-1
收录类别SCI
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:000284773800019
引用统计
被引频次:1[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/7810
专题应用天文研究部
作者单位Chinese Acad Sci, Natl Astron Observ, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li Yong. Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth[J]. SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY,2010,53(12):2293-2299.
APA Li Yong.(2010).Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth.SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY,53(12),2293-2299.
MLA Li Yong."Modeling earthquake indexes derived from the earthquake warning system upon the planet earth".SCIENCE CHINA-PHYSICS MECHANICS & ASTRONOMY 53.12(2010):2293-2299.
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