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estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24
Li Kejun; Gao Pengxin; Su Tongwei
2005
Source Publicationchinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics
ISSN1009-9271
Volume5Issue:5Pages:539
AbstractA simple statistical method is used to estimate the size and timing of maximum amplitude of the next solar cycle (cycle 24). Presuming cycle 23 to be a short cycle (as is more likely), the minimum of cycle 24 should occur about December 2006 ( +/- 2 months) and the maximum, around March 2011 ( +/- 9 months), and the, amplitude is 189.9 +/- 15.5, if it is a fast riser, or about 136, if it is a slow riser. It we presume cycle 23 to be a long cycle. (as is less likely), the minimum of cycle 24 should occur about June 2008 ( +/- 2 months) and the maximum, about February 2013 ( 8 months) and the maximum will be about. 137 or 80, according as the cycle is a fast riser or a slow riser.
Language英语
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/46659
Collection中国科学院国家天文台
Affiliation中国科学院国家天文台
First Author AffilicationNational Astronomical Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li Kejun,Gao Pengxin,Su Tongwei. estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24[J]. chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics,2005,5(5):539.
APA Li Kejun,Gao Pengxin,&Su Tongwei.(2005).estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24.chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics,5(5),539.
MLA Li Kejun,et al."estimatingthesizeandtimingofthemaximumamplitudeofsolarcycle24".chinesejournalofastronomyandastrophysics 5.5(2005):539.
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