NAOC Open IR
月际地震趋势的数值预测法
黎令仪1; 刘德富1; 康春丽1; 韩延本2
2004
Source Publication地震学报
ISSN0253-3782
Volume026Issue:005Pages:529
Abstract考虑到目前地震月趋势以模糊用语进行预测的缺陷,本文提出采用数值预测法能更好地适应社会需求.这种方法是基于地震有自律现象,通过建立非线性的数学模型予以实现的.模型试验结果表明,我国大陆地震活动存在有7~8个月左右的循环结构,逐月比较预测与实况的震级误差平均低于0.2级,因而该方法比经验性预报更适宜社会的实际利用.
Language英语
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.bao.ac.cn/handle/114a11/42399
Collection中国科学院国家天文台
Affiliation1.中国地震局地震预测所
2.中国科学院国家天文台
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
黎令仪,刘德富,康春丽,等. 月际地震趋势的数值预测法[J]. 地震学报,2004,026(005):529.
APA 黎令仪,刘德富,康春丽,&韩延本.(2004).月际地震趋势的数值预测法.地震学报,026(005),529.
MLA 黎令仪,et al."月际地震趋势的数值预测法".地震学报 026.005(2004):529.
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